EC qualification rounds are a joke. Any team that consists of decent players with some exceptional players in their midst should qualify. Barring any existing issues within the group that is. Like the bilingual problem of the Belgium team for example.
And in 4 years the amount of teams being able to enter the EC will be 24. Teams like Spain and Germany wont even need to field their strongest team to qualify.
Also, a team falling apart is usually a longer process. The beginning of the qualifications we where still pretty much in 2010 form. At the end we lost to Sweden and got hammered in a friendly by Germany. Oh yeah, and won 11-0 to San Marino.....