I think Verdasco has good chances of beating Murray this time. It's up to Verdasco though, it depends on how he plays this time.
In an hypothetical match between Verdasco at his 100% and Murray at his 100% i'm with Verdasco, problem here is that is not easy to see Verd playing at that level many marches in a row, that's why he almost never gets good results.
I voted Verdasco in 5, or Murray in 3 (yes, you can select 2)